Well had a good start to the weekend last night going 2-1, maybe this will be the start of a profitable weekend.
BC did not play well but did what they needed to do unlike the last few #2 teams in the land.
Saturday
South Florida -4 at UConn and Under 45.5. U Conn finally faces a strong team this week and it will be interesting to see what happens. Although they are at home, they face a strong South Florida team that knows how to play and win low scoring games. I like USF to put up a win here by 11. 21-10.
Indiana/Wisconsin over 58. I am not smelling a lot of defense in this game.
Wake Forest-5.5 over North Carolina. If this were some sort of game that mattered, I might think UNC would keep it close but this is a meaningless game for them in a lost season.
Ball State +14 at Illinois. Ball State is playing a tough schedule this season and has been great in all of their non-conf games so far. This is a warm up before playing at instate rival Indiana but they are coming of a confidence building win at Western Michigan. 4-0 ATS on the road this season, I will stick with Ball State.
Vanderbilt -13.5 over Miami-OH. Each team faces a similar dilemma right now over whether Dr. Jekyll or Mr. Hyde will show up to play. Vandy again has the potential to go bowling after an upset win last week at South Carolina.
Kansas -3 at Texas A&M. Things are not looking up at A&M despite a 6-2 record since it is more likely then not they will have a new HC next year. I like Kansas to rise up to the occasion and pull out a big road win.
Tulane -1.5 over Memphis. Tulane is going to run all over Memphis.
Oregon -3 over USC. Quack Quack, Ducks are looking to change some trends against SC this week at home.
Clemson -3 at Maryland.
Virginia -3 at NC State.
Both these ACC picks are similar for me. They just are what they are. I hate all 4 teams but NC State blows and Virginia has handled adversity well this season. Maryland's QB is banged up and Clemson is coming off a total romp. Hopefully the offense will not forget what to to.
Kentucky -14 over Mississippi St. Kentucky finally has an easier game this week. I look for them to get healthy and happy in a big way.
New Mexico St. +29.5 at Hawaii. Hawaii might a little rusty and NMST has their starting QB Holbrook back in the saddle.
MTSU -12.5 at North Texas. North Texas is terrible.
Friday, October 26, 2007
Thursday, October 25, 2007
Week 8: Thursday and Friday
So we got back on the winning side of things last Saturday and was ahead for the week just slightly. Sorry for the lack of comments with my picks but sometimes you just run out of time.
Thursday Night:
Bonus we get two games. Forget the boring World Series.
Boston College +3 at Va Tech. BC is not getting much respect this week as one of 5 unbeatens left in the country going into Lane Stadium as a small dog. Virginia Tech has two qb's neither of whom are terrible nor exciting. BC coming off an extra few days rest should be able to win straight up. BC was my pick to win the ACC at the beginning of the year and I think they will stay on track.
Air Force +6 at New Mexico and UNDER 47. Air Force has played solid defense all year and has some banged up players on offense. I still think they will cover and possibly win straight up but this will be a low scoring grind it out game.
Friday:
Boise St. -3 at Fresno St. and OVER 63.5. Yeah Fresno State is not as bad as they were last year but Boise should win by double digits and in case they don't, it will be a high score affair.
More tomorrow with write-ups.
Thursday Night:
Bonus we get two games. Forget the boring World Series.
Boston College +3 at Va Tech. BC is not getting much respect this week as one of 5 unbeatens left in the country going into Lane Stadium as a small dog. Virginia Tech has two qb's neither of whom are terrible nor exciting. BC coming off an extra few days rest should be able to win straight up. BC was my pick to win the ACC at the beginning of the year and I think they will stay on track.
Air Force +6 at New Mexico and UNDER 47. Air Force has played solid defense all year and has some banged up players on offense. I still think they will cover and possibly win straight up but this will be a low scoring grind it out game.
Friday:
Boise St. -3 at Fresno St. and OVER 63.5. Yeah Fresno State is not as bad as they were last year but Boise should win by double digits and in case they don't, it will be a high score affair.
More tomorrow with write-ups.
Friday, October 19, 2007
Week 7: Saturdays Picks
West Virginia -24 over Miss St
Indiana +7 over Penn St.
Wake Forest -3 at Navy
Kansas -3 at Colorado
Rice (Even) over Memphis
Tennessee (Even) at Alabama
Oklahoma -30 at Iowa St
Oregon -13 at Washington
Kentucky +6.5 over Florida
Boise St/ La Tech over 55. Key Play
Texas -24 at Baylor
Cincinnati -9.5 at Pitt. Key Play
New Mexico St -9.5 over Idaho
Auburn +10.5 at LSU
Good luck.
Indiana +7 over Penn St.
Wake Forest -3 at Navy
Kansas -3 at Colorado
Rice (Even) over Memphis
Tennessee (Even) at Alabama
Oklahoma -30 at Iowa St
Oregon -13 at Washington
Kentucky +6.5 over Florida
Boise St/ La Tech over 55. Key Play
Texas -24 at Baylor
Cincinnati -9.5 at Pitt. Key Play
New Mexico St -9.5 over Idaho
Auburn +10.5 at LSU
Good luck.
Thursday, October 18, 2007
Week 7: Traveling Again.
I am traveling again this week so here are my early games for the weekend. Go Sox (just so it is more fun to be here on Saturday night.)
Thursday Night
South Florida -2 at Rutgers. (Key Play). USF is the Rutgers of last year but they are more talented and better prepared to handle success. After a meteoric rise to #2 in the rankings, USF will not slip up on the road.
Utah +3.5 at TCU. Two inconsistent teams here but the Utes winning three in a row seem to have their house back in order.
Friday Night.
Louisville -3 at U Conn. AND UNDER 62. U Conn is the worst 5-1 team in the land. I think the Louisville offense will score and the defense will step up for the second week in a row and force turnovers. I see Louisville winning and UConn not getting above 21 points.
Thursday Night
South Florida -2 at Rutgers. (Key Play). USF is the Rutgers of last year but they are more talented and better prepared to handle success. After a meteoric rise to #2 in the rankings, USF will not slip up on the road.
Utah +3.5 at TCU. Two inconsistent teams here but the Utes winning three in a row seem to have their house back in order.
Friday Night.
Louisville -3 at U Conn. AND UNDER 62. U Conn is the worst 5-1 team in the land. I think the Louisville offense will score and the defense will step up for the second week in a row and force turnovers. I see Louisville winning and UConn not getting above 21 points.
Friday, October 12, 2007
Week 6: Saturday
Sorry so late today.
Purdue/Michigan over 55.5. I am not sure who will win this high scoring affair but I know that it will be high scoring.
South Carolina -7 at UNC. I don't see the Tar Heels having the ability to pull off a big upset two weeks in a row.
Cincinnati -10 over Louisville and Louisville/Cincinnati under 67. The Cincinnati defense will slow down the Louisville offense and cover the game.
Toledo +4.5 at Buffalo. Buffalo has come along over the last few years but they have not come far enough to be favored against a Toledo team having a tough season.
Kansas -27 over Baylor.
Tennessee/Mississippi St over 50. Tennessee is all about the offense this season and I think Mississippi State will even score into the 20s in a losing effort.
Illinois -4.5 at Iowa. I will stick with the hot team against the team that has lost 8 straight conference games.
BC -13.5 at ND. (Key Play) Big deal, ND won a game. That was only possible due to facing a third string walk-on QB for most of game against UCLA. I will say the Notre Dame defense is definitely their strength but not strong enough to have an impact on BC.
Air Force +3 at Colorado St.
Kentucky +9.5 over LSU. Maybe the extra two days and the chance to watch LSU struggle against Florida will give Kentucky a better chance to upset the Number One team.
U Conn/Virginia over 44. Are these defenses that good? I think the offenses will open up this week.
Indiana +3.5 at Michigan St. Sticking with the hot team here against the team who is in the midst of their annual meltdown.
Missouri +12 at Oklahoma. This will be a close game.
Good Luck. Maybe some NFL tomorrow.
Purdue/Michigan over 55.5. I am not sure who will win this high scoring affair but I know that it will be high scoring.
South Carolina -7 at UNC. I don't see the Tar Heels having the ability to pull off a big upset two weeks in a row.
Cincinnati -10 over Louisville and Louisville/Cincinnati under 67. The Cincinnati defense will slow down the Louisville offense and cover the game.
Toledo +4.5 at Buffalo. Buffalo has come along over the last few years but they have not come far enough to be favored against a Toledo team having a tough season.
Kansas -27 over Baylor.
Tennessee/Mississippi St over 50. Tennessee is all about the offense this season and I think Mississippi State will even score into the 20s in a losing effort.
Illinois -4.5 at Iowa. I will stick with the hot team against the team that has lost 8 straight conference games.
BC -13.5 at ND. (Key Play) Big deal, ND won a game. That was only possible due to facing a third string walk-on QB for most of game against UCLA. I will say the Notre Dame defense is definitely their strength but not strong enough to have an impact on BC.
Air Force +3 at Colorado St.
Kentucky +9.5 over LSU. Maybe the extra two days and the chance to watch LSU struggle against Florida will give Kentucky a better chance to upset the Number One team.
U Conn/Virginia over 44. Are these defenses that good? I think the offenses will open up this week.
Indiana +3.5 at Michigan St. Sticking with the hot team here against the team who is in the midst of their annual meltdown.
Missouri +12 at Oklahoma. This will be a close game.
Good Luck. Maybe some NFL tomorrow.
Thursday, October 11, 2007
Week 6: Thursday and Friday
I realized after all my analysis in my last writing that there was no conclusion. I think that Hawaii will possibly run the table and if they do a BCS bid could be waiting for them. (They will not really deserve it unlike Boise St last season.) Otherwise I think there will not be two undefeated teams facing off for the National Championship and maybe even two teams with one loss facing off. How ever it is, it should be interesting as always.
Thursday night:
Florida St -5.5 at Wake Forest. Last season, Wake did what was thought to be impossible, go to Florida State and shut them out. I smell revenge this season.
Friday night:
Hawaii -18 at San Jose St. Hawaii finally gets some TV time and they should enjoy dismantling a weak San Jose St. team. It would be nice to see Brennan make it through more of a game though.
More later or tomorrow.
Thursday night:
Florida St -5.5 at Wake Forest. Last season, Wake did what was thought to be impossible, go to Florida State and shut them out. I smell revenge this season.
Friday night:
Hawaii -18 at San Jose St. Hawaii finally gets some TV time and they should enjoy dismantling a weak San Jose St. team. It would be nice to see Brennan make it through more of a game though.
More later or tomorrow.
Monday, October 08, 2007
Week 6 Wrap Up and Why I Blog
Well my record the last two weeks while it has not terrible has been well into the negative territory has caused me to think about why I do this. And I realized I have not been doing much writing this season so I am going to get back to the basics posting my picks earlier in the week and writing more.
So let me tell you a little story, after Saturday's plays, I was looking like I would finally have to go meet my bookie. This would be a first time experience for me since I had been solely an Internet gambler until this season. In an attempt to delay this inevitable meeting I decided to bet 4 NFL games on Sunday and I would need to go 4-0 to get me back under my limit. After being out most of the day and not watching the first half of the Packer game, I noticed that I was 3-0 and holding Green Bay -1 or 2 (can't remember) with the lead and playing well. I was hoping that I could avoid being past my limit but we all know the Bears came back and I wait for the call to pay the piper. (Unfortunately for me he is still alive, I have to meet up with him.)
Lets look at the Undefeated Teams Left in College Football and their odds of running the table.
LSU - Survived a tough test this past weekend against Florida but came back and won the game. LSU still has some conference games against teams who could step up to beat them and they will have a conference championship game (2-1).
Ohio State - The defense looks good actually great, shutting down Purdue on the road was impressive. The schedule is okay but it looks like they will have their 4 hardest games the last 4 weeks of the season, at Penn State and Michigan, and hosting Wisconsin and Illinois. They could lose any of these 4 games. (3-1)
California - They are a solid team with athletes on both sides of the ball. Their defense is porous at times and will slip them up somewhere along the way where they will lose in a shootout. (8-1)
Missouri - Not happening, especially with a conference championship game. Field Bet (20-1)
South Florida - It is amazing that the top 3 teams in the Big East heading into the season have suffered losses and yet there are still two (UConn does not count) undefeated conference teams who could run the table. Good defense and passionate coaching have gotten them this far, there are some scary games left for them including a trip to Rutgers. (5-1).
Arizona St. - 6-0 is great when you have played no one. No chance. Field Bet (20-1)
Boston College - It is nice to play 3 conference games to start the season especially when you go 3 and 0. BC has been quiet in their run so far this season winning games but not overwhelming anyone. The passing game is solid and so is the defense. Even though it was against Bowling Green I was impress with the huge score they put up. Tough games left and a conference championship game (I actually have money on them to win the ACC). I think this veteran team will continue under the radar and may pull it all off. (4-1).
Kansas - Rock Chalk Jayhawk - ha ha. This is not basketball. They will have at least one loss before playing Missouri to finish the regular season schedule. Field Bet (20-1).
Cincinnati - Playing at USF later in the season will be tough, but Cinderella slipper maybe fitting for a Bearcat Paw this year. I like the turnover margin (that was not even a factor in the Rutgers game), some teams just have years where the ball falls their way. (4-1)
Hawaii- Boise St. and Washington at home to finish the season, hmmm. I like Hawaii and I feel for them having to play 2 1-AA teams because everyone else is scared (rumored Michigan backed out). They will not matter in the National Championship but could run the table and maybe get a BCS bid they would not deserve. (3-1).
UConn - Absolutely no no no no no chance here. If they finish with less then 3 losses it should be a great season for them. Field (20-1).
So let me tell you a little story, after Saturday's plays, I was looking like I would finally have to go meet my bookie. This would be a first time experience for me since I had been solely an Internet gambler until this season. In an attempt to delay this inevitable meeting I decided to bet 4 NFL games on Sunday and I would need to go 4-0 to get me back under my limit. After being out most of the day and not watching the first half of the Packer game, I noticed that I was 3-0 and holding Green Bay -1 or 2 (can't remember) with the lead and playing well. I was hoping that I could avoid being past my limit but we all know the Bears came back and I wait for the call to pay the piper. (Unfortunately for me he is still alive, I have to meet up with him.)
Lets look at the Undefeated Teams Left in College Football and their odds of running the table.
LSU - Survived a tough test this past weekend against Florida but came back and won the game. LSU still has some conference games against teams who could step up to beat them and they will have a conference championship game (2-1).
Ohio State - The defense looks good actually great, shutting down Purdue on the road was impressive. The schedule is okay but it looks like they will have their 4 hardest games the last 4 weeks of the season, at Penn State and Michigan, and hosting Wisconsin and Illinois. They could lose any of these 4 games. (3-1)
California - They are a solid team with athletes on both sides of the ball. Their defense is porous at times and will slip them up somewhere along the way where they will lose in a shootout. (8-1)
Missouri - Not happening, especially with a conference championship game. Field Bet (20-1)
South Florida - It is amazing that the top 3 teams in the Big East heading into the season have suffered losses and yet there are still two (UConn does not count) undefeated conference teams who could run the table. Good defense and passionate coaching have gotten them this far, there are some scary games left for them including a trip to Rutgers. (5-1).
Arizona St. - 6-0 is great when you have played no one. No chance. Field Bet (20-1)
Boston College - It is nice to play 3 conference games to start the season especially when you go 3 and 0. BC has been quiet in their run so far this season winning games but not overwhelming anyone. The passing game is solid and so is the defense. Even though it was against Bowling Green I was impress with the huge score they put up. Tough games left and a conference championship game (I actually have money on them to win the ACC). I think this veteran team will continue under the radar and may pull it all off. (4-1).
Kansas - Rock Chalk Jayhawk - ha ha. This is not basketball. They will have at least one loss before playing Missouri to finish the regular season schedule. Field Bet (20-1).
Cincinnati - Playing at USF later in the season will be tough, but Cinderella slipper maybe fitting for a Bearcat Paw this year. I like the turnover margin (that was not even a factor in the Rutgers game), some teams just have years where the ball falls their way. (4-1)
Hawaii- Boise St. and Washington at home to finish the season, hmmm. I like Hawaii and I feel for them having to play 2 1-AA teams because everyone else is scared (rumored Michigan backed out). They will not matter in the National Championship but could run the table and maybe get a BCS bid they would not deserve. (3-1).
UConn - Absolutely no no no no no chance here. If they finish with less then 3 losses it should be a great season for them. Field (20-1).
Friday, October 05, 2007
Week 6: College Plays
Weekend Plays
Saturday: (Remember key plays are double.)
Temple/Northern Ill over 52.5.
Syracuse/West Va over 56.
Cincinnati +4 at Rutgers. Different cinderella from the Big East this season. Why is everyone bashing Bearcats huge TO margin? Some teams just create lots of turnovers.
Wisconsin +2.5 at Illinois. Wrong team favored.
Indiana -13.5 over Minnesota. Minnesota sucks (sorry Dils, Northwestern does too right now as well.)
Miami -7 at UNC. (Key Play)
Ball St. -12.5 over CMU. (Key Play) Ball St. is hot so I am sticking with them.
Bowling Green +20 at Boston College. BC has been underperforming and has no reason not to against Bowling Green.
Wyoming -3 over TCU. There is a new sherrif in town.
UAB +18.5 at Miss St. Miss St should not be favored by this much against anyone.
Kansas St. -3.5 over Kansas. Kansas has blown teams out but they all suck.
Colorado -9 at Baylor. Colorado is back on track this season and a return to bowling is in sight.
Clemson -5.5 over Va. Tech.
Missouri -6 over Nebraska. Battle for the Big 12 North. Missouri lose a game but it will not be this one. They would rather have it be a huge letdown game.
Penn St. -9 over Iowa. Penn State rebounds this week.
Stanford/USC over 58.
UCF -3.5 at East Carolina. (Key Play). Too bad O'leary never got to Notre Dame.
LSU -7 over Florida.
Ohio St -7 at Purdue. (Key Play). Purdue has not played anyone and Ohio State is too tough.
USF -16.5 at FAU
Troy -18.5 at FIU
Virginia -10 at MTSU
Sunday
Boise -24 over New Mexico St.
Boise St./New Mexico St. over 62.
Saturday: (Remember key plays are double.)
Temple/Northern Ill over 52.5.
Syracuse/West Va over 56.
Cincinnati +4 at Rutgers. Different cinderella from the Big East this season. Why is everyone bashing Bearcats huge TO margin? Some teams just create lots of turnovers.
Wisconsin +2.5 at Illinois. Wrong team favored.
Indiana -13.5 over Minnesota. Minnesota sucks (sorry Dils, Northwestern does too right now as well.)
Miami -7 at UNC. (Key Play)
Ball St. -12.5 over CMU. (Key Play) Ball St. is hot so I am sticking with them.
Bowling Green +20 at Boston College. BC has been underperforming and has no reason not to against Bowling Green.
Wyoming -3 over TCU. There is a new sherrif in town.
UAB +18.5 at Miss St. Miss St should not be favored by this much against anyone.
Kansas St. -3.5 over Kansas. Kansas has blown teams out but they all suck.
Colorado -9 at Baylor. Colorado is back on track this season and a return to bowling is in sight.
Clemson -5.5 over Va. Tech.
Missouri -6 over Nebraska. Battle for the Big 12 North. Missouri lose a game but it will not be this one. They would rather have it be a huge letdown game.
Penn St. -9 over Iowa. Penn State rebounds this week.
Stanford/USC over 58.
UCF -3.5 at East Carolina. (Key Play). Too bad O'leary never got to Notre Dame.
LSU -7 over Florida.
Ohio St -7 at Purdue. (Key Play). Purdue has not played anyone and Ohio State is too tough.
USF -16.5 at FAU
Troy -18.5 at FIU
Virginia -10 at MTSU
Sunday
Boise -24 over New Mexico St.
Boise St./New Mexico St. over 62.
Thursday, October 04, 2007
Week 6: Big SEC Game Tonight
Tonight there is a huge SEC matchup and a potential showcase game for one of the nation's best quarterbacks. I hope to be able to watch some of this game after the Phillies pull one out today.
Kentucky +3.5 at South Carolina. I am not sold on the South Carolina offense being able to keep up here. Their defense is strong but I am not sure LSU could keep the wildcats quiet for a whole game either. I am leaning toward calling an under here as well but not sure yet.
By the way, did anyone see the Rice/Southern Miss game last night? Wow was that insane, Southern Miss was -6 in turnovers but still almost came back to win.
Good luck tonight and may we get this week off to a better start.
Kentucky +3.5 at South Carolina. I am not sold on the South Carolina offense being able to keep up here. Their defense is strong but I am not sure LSU could keep the wildcats quiet for a whole game either. I am leaning toward calling an under here as well but not sure yet.
By the way, did anyone see the Rice/Southern Miss game last night? Wow was that insane, Southern Miss was -6 in turnovers but still almost came back to win.
Good luck tonight and may we get this week off to a better start.
Wednesday, October 03, 2007
Week 6: Wow finally a crappy week last week.
Sorry about last week, 11-15 in college with a key play win and 1-3 in the NFL sucks.
No play tonight. Will update tonight or tomorrow after the Phillies kick some ass against the Rockies.
No play tonight. Will update tonight or tomorrow after the Phillies kick some ass against the Rockies.
Friday, September 28, 2007
Week 5: College and Pro.
Friday Night: West Virginia -6.5 at USF. There will be no surprises this time. West Va is just too fast. USF is off to a great start but it is obvious that Auburn is having an off year so that diminishes their track record a bit.
Saturday
Duke +24 at Miami. I am not sold on Miami yet.
Arkon +15.5 at U Conn.
Indiana +10.5 at Iowa.
Miss. St. +13.5 at South Carolina. Spurrier is play with his QB's again and not getting the success he needs.
Air Force +2.5 at Navy. Navy is still living on past success.
Ball State -13.5 over Buffalo. (Key Play). Buffalo gets killed at home by Baylor and Ball State is coming of a very very close road loss to Nebraska. Should be at least 21.
Oregon -6.5 over Cal.
Alabama +2.5 over FSU.
Georgia -15 over Mississippi
Kansas St. +14.5 at Texas. Texas will be looking ahead to Oklahoma.
LSU -41 at Tulane. Who cares where they play this game, all the fans will be for LSU.
Vanderbilt -21 over Eastern Michigan.
Oklahoma -23 at Colorado and OVER 55.5. Can't go against Oklahoma until they show me a reason. Again is see Oklahoma scoring 50 on their own.
Tulsa -22.5 over UAB. Tulsa has a solid offense and UAB is very weak.
Louisville -8.5 at NC State. Can Louisville be this bad? I am betting they're not.
Rutgers -17.5 over Maryland and OVER 47.
Ohio St -23.5 at Minnesota and OVER 61. Ohio State will put up 50 + also this week. Too much speed for Minnesota.
Purdue -22 at Notre Dame. Maybe they should save some money this year and spray the helmets with silver so they look tarnished just like the legacy of the football program.
Arizona St -14 at Stanford
Cincinnati -14 at SDSU.
Arkansas -36 over North Texas.
NFL for Sunday
Lets get back to the NFL and get away from our 0-3 start.
Houston -3 +105 at Atlanta
Chicago -3 +105 at Detroit
Green Bay -1.5 at Minnesota
Philadelphia -3 +105 at NY
All road favorites, yeah I may be nuts but these are what make sense to me.
Good luck.
Saturday
Duke +24 at Miami. I am not sold on Miami yet.
Arkon +15.5 at U Conn.
Indiana +10.5 at Iowa.
Miss. St. +13.5 at South Carolina. Spurrier is play with his QB's again and not getting the success he needs.
Air Force +2.5 at Navy. Navy is still living on past success.
Ball State -13.5 over Buffalo. (Key Play). Buffalo gets killed at home by Baylor and Ball State is coming of a very very close road loss to Nebraska. Should be at least 21.
Oregon -6.5 over Cal.
Alabama +2.5 over FSU.
Georgia -15 over Mississippi
Kansas St. +14.5 at Texas. Texas will be looking ahead to Oklahoma.
LSU -41 at Tulane. Who cares where they play this game, all the fans will be for LSU.
Vanderbilt -21 over Eastern Michigan.
Oklahoma -23 at Colorado and OVER 55.5. Can't go against Oklahoma until they show me a reason. Again is see Oklahoma scoring 50 on their own.
Tulsa -22.5 over UAB. Tulsa has a solid offense and UAB is very weak.
Louisville -8.5 at NC State. Can Louisville be this bad? I am betting they're not.
Rutgers -17.5 over Maryland and OVER 47.
Ohio St -23.5 at Minnesota and OVER 61. Ohio State will put up 50 + also this week. Too much speed for Minnesota.
Purdue -22 at Notre Dame. Maybe they should save some money this year and spray the helmets with silver so they look tarnished just like the legacy of the football program.
Arizona St -14 at Stanford
Cincinnati -14 at SDSU.
Arkansas -36 over North Texas.
NFL for Sunday
Lets get back to the NFL and get away from our 0-3 start.
Houston -3 +105 at Atlanta
Chicago -3 +105 at Detroit
Green Bay -1.5 at Minnesota
Philadelphia -3 +105 at NY
All road favorites, yeah I may be nuts but these are what make sense to me.
Good luck.
Wednesday, September 26, 2007
Week 5: Early Plays
So far this season I have had two good weeks and two so-so ones but we are yet to have a loser in college play yet. 11-10 last week, a push to bring the season total to 42-34. Up a few bucks but nothing to be proud of.
Thursday Night:
Southern Miss +10.5 at Boise St. In a perfect world both of these teams would have been undefeated and this would be like the "Bracket Buster" games ESPN promotes among the mid majors in NCAA hoops, but it is not. Boise lost to an improved Washington on the road and South Miss was taken out by Tennessee. I think Boise will win at home but it will be really close.
Arkansas St. -4 over Memphis. Memphis has to travel 5 days after getting wiped out at UCF. Arkansas St. is off a loss but played a solid 3 quarters at Tennessee, and they should enjoy some good home cookin'.
Friday Night:
West Virginia at South Florida. This should be a great game and I might have a pick on Friday.
Good luck tomorrow night.
Moss
Thursday Night:
Southern Miss +10.5 at Boise St. In a perfect world both of these teams would have been undefeated and this would be like the "Bracket Buster" games ESPN promotes among the mid majors in NCAA hoops, but it is not. Boise lost to an improved Washington on the road and South Miss was taken out by Tennessee. I think Boise will win at home but it will be really close.
Arkansas St. -4 over Memphis. Memphis has to travel 5 days after getting wiped out at UCF. Arkansas St. is off a loss but played a solid 3 quarters at Tennessee, and they should enjoy some good home cookin'.
Friday Night:
West Virginia at South Florida. This should be a great game and I might have a pick on Friday.
Good luck tomorrow night.
Moss
Friday, September 21, 2007
Week 4: College
Friday Night:
Oklahoma -23.5 and Ok/Tulsa Over 66. The Oklahoma offense has been fantastic this season and they should blow out Tulsa. Tulsa beat BYU (55-47) in an old fashioned WAC shootout last Saturday so their defense should not be a worry for Oklahoma. Tulsa will score at least 20 while Oklahoma will score at least 55.
Saturday
Baylor -3 at Buffalo. I know I should not touch this game, but I really don't think Buffalo is ready to beat a BCS conference team (Temple was an independent last year and now in the MAC). Baylor should win by double digits unless there is a fluke September snow.
Kent State -2 at Akron. Other then stumbling against Kentucky, Kent looks strong this season. This is a rivalry game but Akron's offense has been inept and they have been saved by their opponents turnovers.
Boston College -27 over Army. Wow did BC play well last week and Army got lucky that Wake Forest is just a terrible favorite. This week will be an easy cover.
Ball St. +23 at Nebraska. Ball St. brings a strong offense and a weak defense into Nebraska this week. Nebraska is a team with a similar set up who will win but not be able to separate by more then 3 TDs. The over here is tempting but I think it is slanted a little too high.
Mississippi +23 over Florida. Mississippi is not the hapless pushover they have been over the past few years. Florida will be looking ahead to Auburn and LSU, just trying to get back home to the swamp with a win.
Texas Tech -5.5 at Oklahoma St. (Key Game) This is the best Red Raider team in years and Oklahoma St has no confidence coming after their horrific performance at Troy. The Cowboys are not the same team as advertised after suffering through some early season injuries.
Michigan St. -10 (bought the half) at Notre Dame. More power to ND if they turn it around this week, but I don't see it happening. Michigan State seems to be on pace for their usual disappearing act after a strong start, but this is still non-conf play so the disappearance will wait another week.
Georgia Tech -3.5 (i am not paying 20% to buy a game down to 3 and I am less scared of this game then I was of Alabama, although I really wanted to pick them) at Virginia. I still think Tech is a great team just had an off week and I think Virginia sucks. So lets hope the stars realign back to where they should be.
Colorado St/Houston over 65. Both teams are more offensively oriented and can score.
Clemson -7 at NC State. NC State beat a 1-AA team, who cares. They will not be close to Clemson.
Marshall +24 at Cincinnati. Marshall is not as bad as they look losing to 1-AA UNH who beat Northwestern last year too. The starting QB for Marshall sat for most of the 1st half and then led the team on 5 almost 6 straight Touchdown drives. Cincinnati is good but I think this might be the week they are ripe for a letdown back at home.
Kentucky +6.5 at Arkansas and Over 66.5. Kentucky is not a team to mess with this season and they can score with the best teams in the country. Both teams are coming off shootouts and heading into another one.
New Mexico St. + 16.5 at Auburn. Auburn can't move the ball very well this season and just don't seem to be awake. New Mexico St's strong passing offense might give Auburn some trouble especially if Auburn continues to turn the ball over often.
Wyoming -4 at Ohio. Ohio plays a tough opponent for the 2nd week in a row. They had no offense last week and were lucky to push against Va Tech. Wyoming played tough D against Boise but still lost. Actually made it closer in the 4th quarter then it should have been, but Wyoming is the much better team.
South Carolina +18 at LSU. Some points will be scored this week against LSU and it will be a closer game then expected with LSU winning by around 10 or 11.
Wisconsin -7 over Iowa. I still think Wisconsin, after some struggles the last couple of weeks, will win the Big Ten.
Purdue -13.5 at Minnesota. Minnesota sucks and I think Purdue might even hold them to scoring in the low 20s otherwise I would have played the over too.
Arkansas St +19.5 at Tennessee. All the teams in the Sunbelt are not pushovers anymore. Tennessee will have a much harder time then expected at home this week coming off the Florida loss.
So we have 7 dogs this week. I wish you all good luck and lets have a winning week. Also to answer a few of your comments, I DO WORK. I just like to fit some pleasure travel in with my work also.
Happy Winning and Happy Fasting (to those of you who fast).
Oklahoma -23.5 and Ok/Tulsa Over 66. The Oklahoma offense has been fantastic this season and they should blow out Tulsa. Tulsa beat BYU (55-47) in an old fashioned WAC shootout last Saturday so their defense should not be a worry for Oklahoma. Tulsa will score at least 20 while Oklahoma will score at least 55.
Saturday
Baylor -3 at Buffalo. I know I should not touch this game, but I really don't think Buffalo is ready to beat a BCS conference team (Temple was an independent last year and now in the MAC). Baylor should win by double digits unless there is a fluke September snow.
Kent State -2 at Akron. Other then stumbling against Kentucky, Kent looks strong this season. This is a rivalry game but Akron's offense has been inept and they have been saved by their opponents turnovers.
Boston College -27 over Army. Wow did BC play well last week and Army got lucky that Wake Forest is just a terrible favorite. This week will be an easy cover.
Ball St. +23 at Nebraska. Ball St. brings a strong offense and a weak defense into Nebraska this week. Nebraska is a team with a similar set up who will win but not be able to separate by more then 3 TDs. The over here is tempting but I think it is slanted a little too high.
Mississippi +23 over Florida. Mississippi is not the hapless pushover they have been over the past few years. Florida will be looking ahead to Auburn and LSU, just trying to get back home to the swamp with a win.
Texas Tech -5.5 at Oklahoma St. (Key Game) This is the best Red Raider team in years and Oklahoma St has no confidence coming after their horrific performance at Troy. The Cowboys are not the same team as advertised after suffering through some early season injuries.
Michigan St. -10 (bought the half) at Notre Dame. More power to ND if they turn it around this week, but I don't see it happening. Michigan State seems to be on pace for their usual disappearing act after a strong start, but this is still non-conf play so the disappearance will wait another week.
Georgia Tech -3.5 (i am not paying 20% to buy a game down to 3 and I am less scared of this game then I was of Alabama, although I really wanted to pick them) at Virginia. I still think Tech is a great team just had an off week and I think Virginia sucks. So lets hope the stars realign back to where they should be.
Colorado St/Houston over 65. Both teams are more offensively oriented and can score.
Clemson -7 at NC State. NC State beat a 1-AA team, who cares. They will not be close to Clemson.
Marshall +24 at Cincinnati. Marshall is not as bad as they look losing to 1-AA UNH who beat Northwestern last year too. The starting QB for Marshall sat for most of the 1st half and then led the team on 5 almost 6 straight Touchdown drives. Cincinnati is good but I think this might be the week they are ripe for a letdown back at home.
Kentucky +6.5 at Arkansas and Over 66.5. Kentucky is not a team to mess with this season and they can score with the best teams in the country. Both teams are coming off shootouts and heading into another one.
New Mexico St. + 16.5 at Auburn. Auburn can't move the ball very well this season and just don't seem to be awake. New Mexico St's strong passing offense might give Auburn some trouble especially if Auburn continues to turn the ball over often.
Wyoming -4 at Ohio. Ohio plays a tough opponent for the 2nd week in a row. They had no offense last week and were lucky to push against Va Tech. Wyoming played tough D against Boise but still lost. Actually made it closer in the 4th quarter then it should have been, but Wyoming is the much better team.
South Carolina +18 at LSU. Some points will be scored this week against LSU and it will be a closer game then expected with LSU winning by around 10 or 11.
Wisconsin -7 over Iowa. I still think Wisconsin, after some struggles the last couple of weeks, will win the Big Ten.
Purdue -13.5 at Minnesota. Minnesota sucks and I think Purdue might even hold them to scoring in the low 20s otherwise I would have played the over too.
Arkansas St +19.5 at Tennessee. All the teams in the Sunbelt are not pushovers anymore. Tennessee will have a much harder time then expected at home this week coming off the Florida loss.
So we have 7 dogs this week. I wish you all good luck and lets have a winning week. Also to answer a few of your comments, I DO WORK. I just like to fit some pleasure travel in with my work also.
Happy Winning and Happy Fasting (to those of you who fast).
Wednesday, September 19, 2007
Week 4:
So we had a nice Saturday going 11-7 to up the college total to 31-23 on the season, the NFL went the wrong way so we are 0-3 so far. Ugh.
I am traveling so here is my pick for Thursday Night.
Texas A&M +2.5 over Miami. I would think about buy the half (I was in a hurry and forgot), but I think that A&M has this game straight up on the road.
Good luck and picks for Saturday will be up Friday afternoon.
(By the way, for you golfers out there, get to Kohler Wisconsin if you can because it is the mecca of golf. Whistling Straights has to be the nicest golf course complex I have ever seen. The two courses are unique due to the setting the landscape, created by nature and Pete Dye. I was floored and am already thinking of heading back.)
I am traveling so here is my pick for Thursday Night.
Texas A&M +2.5 over Miami. I would think about buy the half (I was in a hurry and forgot), but I think that A&M has this game straight up on the road.
Good luck and picks for Saturday will be up Friday afternoon.
(By the way, for you golfers out there, get to Kohler Wisconsin if you can because it is the mecca of golf. Whistling Straights has to be the nicest golf course complex I have ever seen. The two courses are unique due to the setting the landscape, created by nature and Pete Dye. I was floored and am already thinking of heading back.)
Friday, September 14, 2007
Week 3: NFL and last minute plays
Well it was nice to West Virginia get the split last night, but my better move was my thought that I had while driving last night when I decided to book AF and the under. Sorry I did not get a chance to post it, but such is life.
NFL on Sunday:
Cincinnati -6.5 at Cleveland. Well I am not sure if a team has ever traded their opening day QB in the subsequent week, but that does not look good for Cleveland in the short term. They must be counting the weeks until the Brady Quinn era begins.
Indianapolis -7 at Tennessee. Tennessee is coming off a surprise upset and Indy looks better then last year coming out out the box. Indianapolis is for real right now and I don't see them faltering this early in the season.
Good luck this week!
NFL on Sunday:
Cincinnati -6.5 at Cleveland. Well I am not sure if a team has ever traded their opening day QB in the subsequent week, but that does not look good for Cleveland in the short term. They must be counting the weeks until the Brady Quinn era begins.
Indianapolis -7 at Tennessee. Tennessee is coming off a surprise upset and Indy looks better then last year coming out out the box. Indianapolis is for real right now and I don't see them faltering this early in the season.
Good luck this week!
Thursday, September 13, 2007
Week 3: Weekend Action
I hope I am not being sacrilegious thinking about betting on a holy day. Oh well.
There are two interesting things that I forgot to share yesterday in my post. Did you know that Michigan and Notre Dame have never both started off a season 0-2? The more interesting fact is: Michigan is 0-4 since the death of former Head Coach and Athletic Director Bo Schembeckler.
Saturday's Games:
North Carolina -3 over Virginia. I have not confidence in this Virginia team that has a totally inept offense. HC Davis has UNC improving already.
Auburn -13 over Mississippi St. I smell a strong bounce back by Auburn. They have had their heads up their asses the first two games and are lucky to be 1-1. Miss State did beat Auburn last week but they still suck.
Central Michigan/Purdue over 66. Purdue should score in the high 40's and CMU does have a decent offense.
Ohio U. +21 at Va. Tech. Ohio U is 2-0 with some confidence while Va. Tech is starting a new QB. They will win but it will not be decisive.
Cincinnati -7 at Miami-OH. I am going against some conventional wisdom here but Cincinnati is confident and will force turnovers again this week.
Toledo/Kansas over 65. Same argument as above for the Purdue game but just change the names.
Wake Forest -19 over Army. This is a nice get healthy and running again game for Wake. Army is as bad as usual.
Tennessee/Florida over 55. I would not be surprised to see 70 points here without any trouble. Both teams have shown impressive offenses and so-so defenses.
Michigan -7 (bought down from 7.5) over Notre Dame. Experience will get Michigan the win this week even with a young QB.
Ohio St. -3 (bought down from 3.5) at Washington. I think Washington is the trendy upset pick this week and I don't see it. Ohio State had a let down last week and the Buckeyes don't snooze through two games in a row.
UCF +17.5 over Texas. Texas has played uninspired football. UCF is coming off an upset win on the road over NC State and now hosts Texas to open their brand new stadium. I think they will be up for this game while Texas will still be sleep walking.
Indiana -13 over Akron. The Zips are more the like the slugs on offense. Indiana has a speedy offense that I like playing at home this week.
Houston -14 at Tulane. My error with Tulane last week. Houston is eager to get back on the field after giving Oregon a tough battle in their opener two weeks ago.
Louisville/Kentucky under 77. I think Louisville's defense will appear this week in a tough in-state rivalry game against an improving Kentucky.
Texas Tech -28 at Rice. Again another nutty pick last week, Rice sucks too. Last year was a miracle for them that will not be repeated. Texas Tech looks even stronger this season and could be a Big 12 South contender.
Nebraska +10 (bought a half from 9.5) over USC. The Trojans are a mess, but they are a damn talented mess. Players transferring and getting injured has weakened their depth. They are playing a QB, Sam Keller, who has experience against this great Trojan D. It will be close.
Wyoming +12.5 at Boise St. The Coyboys have a tough defense and I think Boise may be a little rattled from last week's loss. There could be an upset on the blue turf.
UNLV +17.5 over Hawaii. Hawaii spent the week on the mainland after a crazy game against La Tech where they barely escaped with an OT win because La Tech went to 2 in the first overtime. UNLV played Wisconsin very tough last week and their young QB is playing very well. Hawaii needs to play much better and I think they will but UNLV is a better team as well.
Arizona State -28 over SDSU. SDSU sucks and Arizona State is playing really tough defense. ASU by 40 in a run away.
There are two interesting things that I forgot to share yesterday in my post. Did you know that Michigan and Notre Dame have never both started off a season 0-2? The more interesting fact is: Michigan is 0-4 since the death of former Head Coach and Athletic Director Bo Schembeckler.
Saturday's Games:
North Carolina -3 over Virginia. I have not confidence in this Virginia team that has a totally inept offense. HC Davis has UNC improving already.
Auburn -13 over Mississippi St. I smell a strong bounce back by Auburn. They have had their heads up their asses the first two games and are lucky to be 1-1. Miss State did beat Auburn last week but they still suck.
Central Michigan/Purdue over 66. Purdue should score in the high 40's and CMU does have a decent offense.
Ohio U. +21 at Va. Tech. Ohio U is 2-0 with some confidence while Va. Tech is starting a new QB. They will win but it will not be decisive.
Cincinnati -7 at Miami-OH. I am going against some conventional wisdom here but Cincinnati is confident and will force turnovers again this week.
Toledo/Kansas over 65. Same argument as above for the Purdue game but just change the names.
Wake Forest -19 over Army. This is a nice get healthy and running again game for Wake. Army is as bad as usual.
Tennessee/Florida over 55. I would not be surprised to see 70 points here without any trouble. Both teams have shown impressive offenses and so-so defenses.
Michigan -7 (bought down from 7.5) over Notre Dame. Experience will get Michigan the win this week even with a young QB.
Ohio St. -3 (bought down from 3.5) at Washington. I think Washington is the trendy upset pick this week and I don't see it. Ohio State had a let down last week and the Buckeyes don't snooze through two games in a row.
UCF +17.5 over Texas. Texas has played uninspired football. UCF is coming off an upset win on the road over NC State and now hosts Texas to open their brand new stadium. I think they will be up for this game while Texas will still be sleep walking.
Indiana -13 over Akron. The Zips are more the like the slugs on offense. Indiana has a speedy offense that I like playing at home this week.
Houston -14 at Tulane. My error with Tulane last week. Houston is eager to get back on the field after giving Oregon a tough battle in their opener two weeks ago.
Louisville/Kentucky under 77. I think Louisville's defense will appear this week in a tough in-state rivalry game against an improving Kentucky.
Texas Tech -28 at Rice. Again another nutty pick last week, Rice sucks too. Last year was a miracle for them that will not be repeated. Texas Tech looks even stronger this season and could be a Big 12 South contender.
Nebraska +10 (bought a half from 9.5) over USC. The Trojans are a mess, but they are a damn talented mess. Players transferring and getting injured has weakened their depth. They are playing a QB, Sam Keller, who has experience against this great Trojan D. It will be close.
Wyoming +12.5 at Boise St. The Coyboys have a tough defense and I think Boise may be a little rattled from last week's loss. There could be an upset on the blue turf.
UNLV +17.5 over Hawaii. Hawaii spent the week on the mainland after a crazy game against La Tech where they barely escaped with an OT win because La Tech went to 2 in the first overtime. UNLV played Wisconsin very tough last week and their young QB is playing very well. Hawaii needs to play much better and I think they will but UNLV is a better team as well.
Arizona State -28 over SDSU. SDSU sucks and Arizona State is playing really tough defense. ASU by 40 in a run away.
Wednesday, September 12, 2007
Week 3: Actually Week 2 Recap and Picks for Thursday
So we did not have a great week at 9-8-1 (I am not going to track the ties this year since it is irrelevant, especially since most of you got the win on that Rutgers game when the line went back down,) but it was a winning week again in college anyway.
The Pac-10 and Big East conferences helped themselves with strong performances mostly from top to bottom with a few exceptions. Cincinnati and South Florida had big wins over BCS conference teams that were unexpected. Louisville and West Virginia showed a lack of defense but still won their games with strong offenses. Syracuse still sucks but ever conference needs a bottom. Oregon St. was the one disappointment for the Pac-10 but Washington and Oregon had stellar performances. The rest of conference looks pretty decent as well but for Stanford at the bottom. I love hearing east coasters whine that west coast football getting too much press but I think it is the opposite right now.
The Big Ten looks really weak right now. Ohio State and Wisconsin did not look good in wins over the weekend that were much less dominant then expected. Penn State looks good but it all hangs on Morelli's shoulders right now. Michigan St. and Minnesota struggled against the MAC. Northwestern barely beat the WAC. So far the Big Ten looks like they could be carrying up the rear for the major conferences this season.
For you tribe members out there, Happy New Year.
Picks for Thursday:
West Virginia -16.5 over Maryland and Over 65. West Virginia is the ultimate scoring machine and they can't play more then a half of defense. I don't see Maryland's defense keeping up.
Good luck.
The Pac-10 and Big East conferences helped themselves with strong performances mostly from top to bottom with a few exceptions. Cincinnati and South Florida had big wins over BCS conference teams that were unexpected. Louisville and West Virginia showed a lack of defense but still won their games with strong offenses. Syracuse still sucks but ever conference needs a bottom. Oregon St. was the one disappointment for the Pac-10 but Washington and Oregon had stellar performances. The rest of conference looks pretty decent as well but for Stanford at the bottom. I love hearing east coasters whine that west coast football getting too much press but I think it is the opposite right now.
The Big Ten looks really weak right now. Ohio State and Wisconsin did not look good in wins over the weekend that were much less dominant then expected. Penn State looks good but it all hangs on Morelli's shoulders right now. Michigan St. and Minnesota struggled against the MAC. Northwestern barely beat the WAC. So far the Big Ten looks like they could be carrying up the rear for the major conferences this season.
For you tribe members out there, Happy New Year.
Picks for Thursday:
West Virginia -16.5 over Maryland and Over 65. West Virginia is the ultimate scoring machine and they can't play more then a half of defense. I don't see Maryland's defense keeping up.
Good luck.
Friday, September 07, 2007
Week 2: Saturday's Plays
Well last night there were two surprising results to me. First, Oregon St. has some QB problems and is looking to be overrated right now despite their offensive weapons. Second, has there ever been a game where there 5 offensive touchdowns score within the first 5 minutes of the game. I am, of course, speaking about the Louisville-MTSU offensive spectacle last night. Louisville needs to step up otherwise Kentucky is going to beat them next week. If I were a head coach, I would have locked the defense out of the locker room at halftime and praised the offense inside for a solid start. I will be interested to see if Louisville drops a position or two in the rankings. (By the way, I right that Louisville likes to score in the mid 50's in these kind of games, just I was not expecting the performance from MTSU.)
I read two interesting statistics this morning on philsteele.com.
"Michigan entered the year #5 in the polls and did not even make the top 25 this week. That was the largest fall EVER in the AP poll after one week. The next closest was when Notre Dame entered the year at #8 in 1995 and fell out of the rankings after a loss to Northwestern. . . .Since the start of 2000 Michigan is the 50th team to lose to a 1AA foe and the previous 49 combined to finish just 160-408 that same season with only FOUR of the 49 finishing with a winning record!"
Yes I had to put in the Northwestern plug.
Also note I have a game that I am considering my key play that I bet double on. I may or may not have games like these going forward but I will tell you when I do.
West Virginia -24 at Marshall. Yeah, it is a road game in a rivalry but these two teams are at different levels right now. With HC Rodriguez now signed on long term, I see a 51-14 blowout.
Nebraska/Wake Forest over 49.5. Nebraska armed with a good passing qb and a running game looks dangerous to me and should put up lots of points again for the 2nd straight week. I was also impressed with Wake scoring 28 up at BC last week. The total goes over 60.
Oklahoma -10 (bought down from -10.5) over Miami. This is not 15 or 20 years ago. Miami needs some time to get back to being a team that can compete in a game like this. Maybe Miami can get a QB too since it has been too long since they have had a competent one.
Rice +6.5 at Baylor. If a college football game is played and no one attends nor anyone cares, did it actually get played? OF Course it did, because I bet on it! Rice got knocked off by a 1-AA team last week in a game played in freakish weather. Baylor valiantly tried against TCU but did not score. Just too many points to give a team that played in a bowl last year (although does that real matter anymore since there are so many bowls).
Cal/Colorado St over 61. I am not really comfortable with the spread in this game but I know both teams will be prolific offensively.
Missouri -6 at Mississippi. Missouri as always seemed to keep a game closer then it really needed be but I will stick with them again this week since they are superior team. It should not be this close.
Boston College -14 at NC State. Here is a chance for the BC player to give their old coach the big F.U. NC State lost to UCF last week in a pathetic showing. They will be better in future years but it will take HC O'Brien time to get the team in order.
Boise St. -3 at Washington. No respect for Boise. This is a joke, Washington beats Syracuse easily last week and now the odds makers think this will be a close game. (Who hasn't beaten Syracuse easily the last few years?) Boise wins by 14 or more.
Penn St. -17 over Notre Dame. Big revenge game for PSU after getting stomped in South Bend last season, I see very little mercy in this one. More growing pains for ND but they should score a touchdown this week if Claussen can survive. 41 -7 Penn State.
Tulane +6 over Miss St. I think Tulane has an advantage since they have not played yet instead of just playing terribly like MSU did against LSU. This is an even series over the last four years and I don't see the home team as the dog.
Kent St. +13 at Kentucky. Kent State played well against Iowa State last week and pulled off an upset win. I see they keeping this game close while Kentucky looks ahead to playing interstate rival Louisville next week.
Washington St. -14 over SDSU. After playing well against Wisconsin for the first half, the Cougars will take out their frustrations on the weak Aztecs.
Hawaii -27.5 at La. Tech. (Key Play) (I put double on this one) For once, I think Hawaii will have no trouble covering on the road. La. Tech is terrible getting out gained and barely being whatever crappy team they played last week. (They were so bad I am just too lazy to look it up.)
New Mexico St +7 at New Mexico. New Mexico St. has the better offense and a few days extra rest and they are getting 7 points. NMSt should win straight up again a team that lost to UTEP 10-6. It should be a high scoring game here too.
UL Monroe +27 at Clemson. Clemson has never been a consistent team under little Bowden. I think they will be over confident this week and just cruise to a victory of less then 20 points.
Well that's all for now. I may have a few more up later today or tonight.
Good luck.
Oh yeah and I have one NFL play for the weekend.
Eagles -3 at Green Bay.
I read two interesting statistics this morning on philsteele.com.
"Michigan entered the year #5 in the polls and did not even make the top 25 this week. That was the largest fall EVER in the AP poll after one week. The next closest was when Notre Dame entered the year at #8 in 1995 and fell out of the rankings after a loss to Northwestern. . . .Since the start of 2000 Michigan is the 50th team to lose to a 1AA foe and the previous 49 combined to finish just 160-408 that same season with only FOUR of the 49 finishing with a winning record!"
Yes I had to put in the Northwestern plug.
Also note I have a game that I am considering my key play that I bet double on. I may or may not have games like these going forward but I will tell you when I do.
West Virginia -24 at Marshall. Yeah, it is a road game in a rivalry but these two teams are at different levels right now. With HC Rodriguez now signed on long term, I see a 51-14 blowout.
Nebraska/Wake Forest over 49.5. Nebraska armed with a good passing qb and a running game looks dangerous to me and should put up lots of points again for the 2nd straight week. I was also impressed with Wake scoring 28 up at BC last week. The total goes over 60.
Oklahoma -10 (bought down from -10.5) over Miami. This is not 15 or 20 years ago. Miami needs some time to get back to being a team that can compete in a game like this. Maybe Miami can get a QB too since it has been too long since they have had a competent one.
Rice +6.5 at Baylor. If a college football game is played and no one attends nor anyone cares, did it actually get played? OF Course it did, because I bet on it! Rice got knocked off by a 1-AA team last week in a game played in freakish weather. Baylor valiantly tried against TCU but did not score. Just too many points to give a team that played in a bowl last year (although does that real matter anymore since there are so many bowls).
Cal/Colorado St over 61. I am not really comfortable with the spread in this game but I know both teams will be prolific offensively.
Missouri -6 at Mississippi. Missouri as always seemed to keep a game closer then it really needed be but I will stick with them again this week since they are superior team. It should not be this close.
Boston College -14 at NC State. Here is a chance for the BC player to give their old coach the big F.U. NC State lost to UCF last week in a pathetic showing. They will be better in future years but it will take HC O'Brien time to get the team in order.
Boise St. -3 at Washington. No respect for Boise. This is a joke, Washington beats Syracuse easily last week and now the odds makers think this will be a close game. (Who hasn't beaten Syracuse easily the last few years?) Boise wins by 14 or more.
Penn St. -17 over Notre Dame. Big revenge game for PSU after getting stomped in South Bend last season, I see very little mercy in this one. More growing pains for ND but they should score a touchdown this week if Claussen can survive. 41 -7 Penn State.
Tulane +6 over Miss St. I think Tulane has an advantage since they have not played yet instead of just playing terribly like MSU did against LSU. This is an even series over the last four years and I don't see the home team as the dog.
Kent St. +13 at Kentucky. Kent State played well against Iowa State last week and pulled off an upset win. I see they keeping this game close while Kentucky looks ahead to playing interstate rival Louisville next week.
Washington St. -14 over SDSU. After playing well against Wisconsin for the first half, the Cougars will take out their frustrations on the weak Aztecs.
Hawaii -27.5 at La. Tech. (Key Play) (I put double on this one) For once, I think Hawaii will have no trouble covering on the road. La. Tech is terrible getting out gained and barely being whatever crappy team they played last week. (They were so bad I am just too lazy to look it up.)
New Mexico St +7 at New Mexico. New Mexico St. has the better offense and a few days extra rest and they are getting 7 points. NMSt should win straight up again a team that lost to UTEP 10-6. It should be a high scoring game here too.
UL Monroe +27 at Clemson. Clemson has never been a consistent team under little Bowden. I think they will be over confident this week and just cruise to a victory of less then 20 points.
Well that's all for now. I may have a few more up later today or tonight.
Good luck.
Oh yeah and I have one NFL play for the weekend.
Eagles -3 at Green Bay.
Wednesday, September 05, 2007
Week 2: Thurs-Fri Night Action and some discussion
Week 2:
I am still not sure if I am over last week yet. I think the Big Ten needs a big weekend to work on restoring its weakened reputation. Minnesota can't lose a 2nd straight game to a MAC team, Michigan needs to win at home over Oregon, and the rest of the conference needs to win their games.
Another thought, I did not realize until the middle of last season that the Pac 10 started to play 9 conference games in seasons with 12 games. On the surface for creating a true conference champion I believe this makes sense, but I think it also will increase the "bias" against West Coast teams. If they played only 8 conference games it would be another opportunity for them to get exposure in the East and Midwest. Just a thought.
On to some games:
Thursday Night:
Oregon St. -3.5 at Cincinnati. I think Cincinnati is getting too much respect in this match up. They blew out a 1-AA team last week but yet missed 3 extra points between to kickers and also missed their only field goal attempt. Oregon St is very experienced at kicker with a 4 year starter at the position who is one of the best right now and will not be playing on short week since they played last Thursday also.
Middle Tennessee St./Louisville over 59.5. Louisville likes to score at least in the high 50's without any help from their cream puff opponents.
Friday Night:
Rutgers -17 over Navy. Either Temple is a little better then in the past or Navy is much worse then last season. Anyway, Rutgers has no reason to look past Navy with a patsy on deck.
Saturday's Games will be posted tomorrow and Friday.
I am still not sure if I am over last week yet. I think the Big Ten needs a big weekend to work on restoring its weakened reputation. Minnesota can't lose a 2nd straight game to a MAC team, Michigan needs to win at home over Oregon, and the rest of the conference needs to win their games.
Another thought, I did not realize until the middle of last season that the Pac 10 started to play 9 conference games in seasons with 12 games. On the surface for creating a true conference champion I believe this makes sense, but I think it also will increase the "bias" against West Coast teams. If they played only 8 conference games it would be another opportunity for them to get exposure in the East and Midwest. Just a thought.
On to some games:
Thursday Night:
Oregon St. -3.5 at Cincinnati. I think Cincinnati is getting too much respect in this match up. They blew out a 1-AA team last week but yet missed 3 extra points between to kickers and also missed their only field goal attempt. Oregon St is very experienced at kicker with a 4 year starter at the position who is one of the best right now and will not be playing on short week since they played last Thursday also.
Middle Tennessee St./Louisville over 59.5. Louisville likes to score at least in the high 50's without any help from their cream puff opponents.
Friday Night:
Rutgers -17 over Navy. Either Temple is a little better then in the past or Navy is much worse then last season. Anyway, Rutgers has no reason to look past Navy with a patsy on deck.
Saturday's Games will be posted tomorrow and Friday.
Tuesday, September 04, 2007
Week 1 Recap: What great fun!
First of all, I really do want to send out a heartfelt consolation to the fans of Michigan since they are still all feeling quite Blue. Now I want to say to the Athletic Director and HC Lloyd Carr, "What were you thinking and get your damn heads out of the sand. Did you see how many other Big Ten teams lost to 1-AA opponents last season? I believe it was three! And then you decide to get the best 1-AA team out there, the team that was rated #70 in the Sagarin ratings which includes all the 1-A teams. Maybe you should start paying attention to the outside world, and not just talk about getting younger players some experience in the opening game and escaping without any injuries. (I am not a Michigan fan, but I will share their sentiment.) YOU SUCK!!"
Sorry for that rant but after going through it with Northwestern last season when we lost to the #1 1-AA offense and top 10 ranked team New Hampshire, I just think it is really stupid to even try to play one of these teams that might be good. This is not like one of those games that are scheduled years in advance. There are plenty of Sunbelt, MAC, and WAC teams willing to do a lopsided deal to play. In addition there are about 90 teams in 1-AA, why pick one of the better ones? There is no upside to it. Now for Appalachian State, congrats for going in with a positive attitude and winning.
Well I can't say I was surprised about Notre Dame, depending on how the lines are I will be against them all season. They should be better in the future but this is just going to be a bad year.
I listened to most of the Oklahoma St - Georgia and K St - Auburn games while driving back home from Myrtle Beach and came out with the overall impression that the Big XII is a little behind the SEC. I think Kansas State will be good but they are throwing the ball way too much. I am less confident in Oklahoma St. playing on the tougher side of the Big XII. Georgia earned some respect from me while Auburn is team I need to see play more to see if they just got lucky to win and were having an off day or otherwise.
So on the week we finished 10-7 with an 8-3 on Saturday.
On other notes, gotta love Miss Teen USA for raising the IQ of all Americans who watch and participate. Oh yeah and she announced she is going to attend Appalachian State in the fall. Any other week that would be a welcomed statement but now we understand how they beat Michigan, supposedly App St. is a good college for educating future teachers. (I hope she sticks with Elementary School.) HC Carr can complain about the high academic standards of Michigan and how it hampers his recruiting.
See you tomorrow or Thursday.
Sorry for that rant but after going through it with Northwestern last season when we lost to the #1 1-AA offense and top 10 ranked team New Hampshire, I just think it is really stupid to even try to play one of these teams that might be good. This is not like one of those games that are scheduled years in advance. There are plenty of Sunbelt, MAC, and WAC teams willing to do a lopsided deal to play. In addition there are about 90 teams in 1-AA, why pick one of the better ones? There is no upside to it. Now for Appalachian State, congrats for going in with a positive attitude and winning.
Well I can't say I was surprised about Notre Dame, depending on how the lines are I will be against them all season. They should be better in the future but this is just going to be a bad year.
I listened to most of the Oklahoma St - Georgia and K St - Auburn games while driving back home from Myrtle Beach and came out with the overall impression that the Big XII is a little behind the SEC. I think Kansas State will be good but they are throwing the ball way too much. I am less confident in Oklahoma St. playing on the tougher side of the Big XII. Georgia earned some respect from me while Auburn is team I need to see play more to see if they just got lucky to win and were having an off day or otherwise.
So on the week we finished 10-7 with an 8-3 on Saturday.
On other notes, gotta love Miss Teen USA for raising the IQ of all Americans who watch and participate. Oh yeah and she announced she is going to attend Appalachian State in the fall. Any other week that would be a welcomed statement but now we understand how they beat Michigan, supposedly App St. is a good college for educating future teachers. (I hope she sticks with Elementary School.) HC Carr can complain about the high academic standards of Michigan and how it hampers his recruiting.
See you tomorrow or Thursday.
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