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    Thursday, September 13, 2007

    Week 3: Weekend Action

    I hope I am not being sacrilegious thinking about betting on a holy day. Oh well.

    There are two interesting things that I forgot to share yesterday in my post. Did you know that Michigan and Notre Dame have never both started off a season 0-2? The more interesting fact is: Michigan is 0-4 since the death of former Head Coach and Athletic Director Bo Schembeckler.

    Saturday's Games:

    North Carolina -3 over Virginia. I have not confidence in this Virginia team that has a totally inept offense. HC Davis has UNC improving already.

    Auburn -13 over Mississippi St. I smell a strong bounce back by Auburn. They have had their heads up their asses the first two games and are lucky to be 1-1. Miss State did beat Auburn last week but they still suck.

    Central Michigan/Purdue over 66. Purdue should score in the high 40's and CMU does have a decent offense.

    Ohio U. +21 at Va. Tech. Ohio U is 2-0 with some confidence while Va. Tech is starting a new QB. They will win but it will not be decisive.

    Cincinnati -7 at Miami-OH. I am going against some conventional wisdom here but Cincinnati is confident and will force turnovers again this week.

    Toledo/Kansas over 65. Same argument as above for the Purdue game but just change the names.

    Wake Forest -19 over Army. This is a nice get healthy and running again game for Wake. Army is as bad as usual.

    Tennessee/Florida over 55. I would not be surprised to see 70 points here without any trouble. Both teams have shown impressive offenses and so-so defenses.

    Michigan -7 (bought down from 7.5) over Notre Dame. Experience will get Michigan the win this week even with a young QB.

    Ohio St. -3 (bought down from 3.5) at Washington. I think Washington is the trendy upset pick this week and I don't see it. Ohio State had a let down last week and the Buckeyes don't snooze through two games in a row.

    UCF +17.5 over Texas. Texas has played uninspired football. UCF is coming off an upset win on the road over NC State and now hosts Texas to open their brand new stadium. I think they will be up for this game while Texas will still be sleep walking.

    Indiana -13 over Akron. The Zips are more the like the slugs on offense. Indiana has a speedy offense that I like playing at home this week.

    Houston -14 at Tulane. My error with Tulane last week. Houston is eager to get back on the field after giving Oregon a tough battle in their opener two weeks ago.

    Louisville/Kentucky under 77. I think Louisville's defense will appear this week in a tough in-state rivalry game against an improving Kentucky.

    Texas Tech -28 at Rice. Again another nutty pick last week, Rice sucks too. Last year was a miracle for them that will not be repeated. Texas Tech looks even stronger this season and could be a Big 12 South contender.

    Nebraska +10 (bought a half from 9.5) over USC. The Trojans are a mess, but they are a damn talented mess. Players transferring and getting injured has weakened their depth. They are playing a QB, Sam Keller, who has experience against this great Trojan D. It will be close.

    Wyoming +12.5 at Boise St. The Coyboys have a tough defense and I think Boise may be a little rattled from last week's loss. There could be an upset on the blue turf.

    UNLV +17.5 over Hawaii. Hawaii spent the week on the mainland after a crazy game against La Tech where they barely escaped with an OT win because La Tech went to 2 in the first overtime. UNLV played Wisconsin very tough last week and their young QB is playing very well. Hawaii needs to play much better and I think they will but UNLV is a better team as well.

    Arizona State -28 over SDSU. SDSU sucks and Arizona State is playing really tough defense. ASU by 40 in a run away.

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