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    Friday, September 21, 2007

    Week 4: College

    Friday Night:

    Oklahoma -23.5 and Ok/Tulsa Over 66. The Oklahoma offense has been fantastic this season and they should blow out Tulsa. Tulsa beat BYU (55-47) in an old fashioned WAC shootout last Saturday so their defense should not be a worry for Oklahoma. Tulsa will score at least 20 while Oklahoma will score at least 55.

    Saturday

    Baylor -3 at Buffalo. I know I should not touch this game, but I really don't think Buffalo is ready to beat a BCS conference team (Temple was an independent last year and now in the MAC). Baylor should win by double digits unless there is a fluke September snow.

    Kent State -2 at Akron. Other then stumbling against Kentucky, Kent looks strong this season. This is a rivalry game but Akron's offense has been inept and they have been saved by their opponents turnovers.

    Boston College -27 over Army. Wow did BC play well last week and Army got lucky that Wake Forest is just a terrible favorite. This week will be an easy cover.

    Ball St. +23 at Nebraska. Ball St. brings a strong offense and a weak defense into Nebraska this week. Nebraska is a team with a similar set up who will win but not be able to separate by more then 3 TDs. The over here is tempting but I think it is slanted a little too high.

    Mississippi +23 over Florida. Mississippi is not the hapless pushover they have been over the past few years. Florida will be looking ahead to Auburn and LSU, just trying to get back home to the swamp with a win.

    Texas Tech -5.5 at Oklahoma St. (Key Game) This is the best Red Raider team in years and Oklahoma St has no confidence coming after their horrific performance at Troy. The Cowboys are not the same team as advertised after suffering through some early season injuries.

    Michigan St. -10 (bought the half) at Notre Dame. More power to ND if they turn it around this week, but I don't see it happening. Michigan State seems to be on pace for their usual disappearing act after a strong start, but this is still non-conf play so the disappearance will wait another week.

    Georgia Tech -3.5 (i am not paying 20% to buy a game down to 3 and I am less scared of this game then I was of Alabama, although I really wanted to pick them) at Virginia. I still think Tech is a great team just had an off week and I think Virginia sucks. So lets hope the stars realign back to where they should be.

    Colorado St/Houston over 65. Both teams are more offensively oriented and can score.

    Clemson -7 at NC State. NC State beat a 1-AA team, who cares. They will not be close to Clemson.

    Marshall +24 at Cincinnati. Marshall is not as bad as they look losing to 1-AA UNH who beat Northwestern last year too. The starting QB for Marshall sat for most of the 1st half and then led the team on 5 almost 6 straight Touchdown drives. Cincinnati is good but I think this might be the week they are ripe for a letdown back at home.

    Kentucky +6.5 at Arkansas and Over 66.5. Kentucky is not a team to mess with this season and they can score with the best teams in the country. Both teams are coming off shootouts and heading into another one.

    New Mexico St. + 16.5 at Auburn. Auburn can't move the ball very well this season and just don't seem to be awake. New Mexico St's strong passing offense might give Auburn some trouble especially if Auburn continues to turn the ball over often.

    Wyoming -4 at Ohio. Ohio plays a tough opponent for the 2nd week in a row. They had no offense last week and were lucky to push against Va Tech. Wyoming played tough D against Boise but still lost. Actually made it closer in the 4th quarter then it should have been, but Wyoming is the much better team.

    South Carolina +18 at LSU. Some points will be scored this week against LSU and it will be a closer game then expected with LSU winning by around 10 or 11.

    Wisconsin -7 over Iowa. I still think Wisconsin, after some struggles the last couple of weeks, will win the Big Ten.

    Purdue -13.5 at Minnesota. Minnesota sucks and I think Purdue might even hold them to scoring in the low 20s otherwise I would have played the over too.

    Arkansas St +19.5 at Tennessee. All the teams in the Sunbelt are not pushovers anymore. Tennessee will have a much harder time then expected at home this week coming off the Florida loss.


    So we have 7 dogs this week. I wish you all good luck and lets have a winning week. Also to answer a few of your comments, I DO WORK. I just like to fit some pleasure travel in with my work also.

    Happy Winning and Happy Fasting (to those of you who fast).

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