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    Tuesday, October 31, 2006

    Tuesday night action

    I will recap the weekend tomorrow but I want to get this week started off hot tonight.

    SMU -5 over UAB. SMU has been solid at home while UAB has fallen short on the road. In addition SMU has improved in each of the past three seasons and is on pace to do it again. Tonight with a win, they will equal last seasons win total with a few games to go.

    SMU/UAB over 49. Both teams offenses have started click in recent games and neither defense has been dominant. Look for the winner of this game (SMU) to score in the mid 30's.

    Friday, October 27, 2006

    Saturday and Sunday's Fun and Games

    Alright lets get right down to the action. Don't forget the 4 Saturday games posted in Wednesday's posting.

    Wake Forest -8 at UNC. Bunting got canned the season is over, blah blah blah.

    Wisconsin -21 over Illinois. Wisconsin has been dominant the last 4 weeks and no reason it should stop this week at home.

    Vanderbilt -8.5 at Duke. Duke blew their load for the season in an upset bid over Miami last week and still could not do it against a depleted Miami lineup. Let down week against lowly Vanderbilt who again looks destined to fall one game short of bowl bid.

    BYU -8.5 at Air Force. Air Force has given up big points to passing teams and BYU has been a juggernaut this season.

    Baylor +5 over Texas A&M. I am sticking with Baylor since this is a key home game where they would be in a position for a bowl. Baylor's passing offense is clicking and the Aggie Pass D is giving up tones of yards over the last few weeks as well. Upset win for the Bear at home but I would take the points.

    Purdue +3 over Penn State. Purdue's offensive power will hide their defensive weakness.

    Ohio St. -27 over Minnesota. By the way, has anyone noticed how pathetic the Big Ten has been this year against 1-AA teams. Minnesota beat North Dakota St. 10-9. Ugh, do I need to say more. Well I will, it is homecoming at Ohio State so that will even have the scrubs playing well to show off for their friends in a 40 point rout.

    USC -10.5 at Oregon St. Will the real So Cal please wake up? Hopefully with a week off and a healthy Jarrett they will be back to their old selves.

    Nevada/New Mexico St. over 64. Nevada has become more of a ball control team season but unless their players intentionally fall down they will not slow down the game enough to keep this game under.

    Marshall -9.5 at Memphis. This play is all about Memphis sucking and Marshall coming home off a big upset win on the road.

    Mississippi St. +1 over Kentucky. I like the Miss St defense to hold firm and scrape out a big win.

    I was going to take Kansas and the Fighting Mangino's but they have been playing like the Dripping Manginas in conference so forget it.

    Wyoming +6 at TCU. The Cowboys are red-hot and they will corral themselves a bunch of frogs this weekend. I appreciate that TCU finally has a healthy backfield but Wyoming seems like they are finally turning a corner this season where they have not lost by more then one score all year.

    East Carolina +6 at Southern Miss.

    Idaho +26 at Hawaii. Hawaii is a scoring machine but then the Vandals have shown they too can put up point this especially when playing an unimpressive Rainbow Defense.

    Idaho/Hawaii over 71. Hawaii's last 4 Div 1 games have been cleared 71 and it should continue.

    Sunday NCAA

    Rutgers -19 over Conn. Rutgers has some extra days until a Thursday night showdown against Louisville so there should not be a letdown here. And as I said last week, UConn can't stop the run for the whole game.

    Sunday NFL

    Two doggies this week.

    Jets +2 at Cleveland. Is this a misprint? Cleveland at 1-5 as a favorite here.

    Indy +3 at Denver. Denver stumbled against the Rams early in the season and I think you might see a similar game this week. Lots of field goals from Indy and Denver has not shown they can score.

    Have a good weekend and let's hope Northwestern does not lose too badly to Michigan.

    Wednesday, October 25, 2006

    To be a Cats fan and Early Picks for College

    Well I was glad to be in Charleston, SC on a beautiful 80 degree Saturday while Northwestern was playing their Homecoming game against Michigan St. Unable to find the game on in any bars during the breaks in my meetings I was relying on my friend's phone calls and text messages. Eventually the Cats were up 38-3 in the 3rd Quarter and cruising to a surprise victory, but then the inevitable started to occur Michigan St started to score and score quickly. Late in the game after it was tied, NU threw an interception and Michigan St. drove to score a game winning field goal. I have the game on my TIVO and am just in no hurry to experience the pain that my friends who out at the game felt in person. It was also just a warm up for the Eagles game. Another defeat snatched from the jaws of victory. Why do the Eagles play so badly when they have the ball to end a half? It seems like throughout the Andy Reid coaching tenure the Eagles have failed to capitalize on scoring opportunities going into halftime. This week you could say it cost them the game. Andy Reid does not seem to change so I guess we have to take the good with the bad. Enough rambling, if you want to read about a fan's experience at the Eagles game in Tampa click on Dils' link in my links and check out his story.

    By the way, I went 14-13 last weekend and sorry if that was too many games for all of you but I am not going to post top picks, etc. so take it or leave it. If you were paying for the picks like I had done in year past then you could have a legit gripe, but they are free from me so just deal.

    For the season I am 88-63 in NCAA action and 4-4 in the NFL.

    Thursday

    Clemson -4 at Va. Tech. Finally it looks like the Tigers are getting the respect they deserve as a top team in the ACC. Virginia Tech is a tough team at home but Clemson has been winning everywhere since the first week of the season and I think they will win this one by 7 or more.

    Friday

    Tulsa -14 over UTEP. Tulsa has dominated their last 5 games and now they face the explosive but sloppy UTEP. UTEP unfortunately has failed to impress this season and Tulsa should cruise to another win.

    Also take the Under in this game too. Tulsa's defense has dominated all season and I would not rate UTEP's offense up there with BYU.

    Early Calls for Saturday

    Virginia +1 over NC St. Please Virginia is much improved since their weak start and have been generating some consistant offense. NC St is a terrible team whose coach will not last the season. This might be the last straw.

    BYU/Air Force over 54.5. This game should feature lots of scoring with BYU's high powered offense.

    Oklahoma St. +5.5 over Nebraska. Classic letdown and trap game for Nebraska after a tough loss and a game against division co-leader Mizzou on tap for next week.

    ASU +1 at Washington. Did anyone notice all of the interceptions that this backup QB for the Huskies likes to throw? 5 last week and 4 in his last start in the 2004 season.

    More in the next few days.

    Saturday, October 21, 2006

    Sunday's Plays

    Sorry about the lack descriptions in my college postings. There were lots of reason why I picked so many games this week. Oh well, let us just see what happens.

    I have two NFL plays for tomorrow.

    Cincinnati -3 over Carolina. I think Rudi Johnson will come out of his funk and get the Bengals back on track.

    Philadelphia -5.5 over Tampa Bay. I look for the Eagles defense to pressure the inexperienced Gradkowski at QB and record at least a half-dozen sacks.

    Friday, October 20, 2006

    Saturday

    Sorry to be brief but traveling. Will edit later.

    Rutgers +6.5 at Pitt.

    Syracuse +17.5 over Louisville.

    Maryland -1.5 over NC State.

    Ole Miss +21 at Arkansas.

    Notre Dame -13 over UCLA.

    Notre Dame/UCLA over 51.

    Baylor -3.5 over Kansas.

    Texas -4.5 at Nebraska.

    Wisconsin -6.5 at Purdue.

    Miss st +18 at Georgia.

    Tennessee -11 over Alabama.

    California -23.5 over Washington.

    Wyoming -4 over Colorado St.

    San Jose State +13 at Nevada.

    Colorado +14 at Oklahoma.

    UAB -5.5 over Marshall.

    Clemson -7 over Georgia Tech

    Boston College +6.5 at FSU.

    Hawaii/NMSt over 75.

    Tulsa -13.5 at Memphis.

    Idaho +21 over Boise St.

    Air Force -13.5 at SDSU.

    Wednesday, October 18, 2006

    Early Action This Week

    Well with Sunday's nights cover, the week went 13-6 in college and 1-1 in the pros. I am heading out town tonight until Saturday night but I will post the weekend action sometime on Friday, so do not worry.

    By the way, did anyone know Hockey season started? I did not really notice until I heard the Flyers lost 9-1. Will someone fire Bobby Clarke and Billy King? It is amazing what a competent GM can do for a team, Pat Gillick. Please save us, but alas the basketball season is about to begin as well with no changes made. Also you should notice that the Phillies have three new bench coaches for next season all with tons of Major League managerial experience: Art Howe, Jimy Williams or Davey Lopes. Note to Charlie: You are on a very short leash.

    Tonight:

    ULL (Louisiana-Lafayette) -8 at FAU. The Ragin Cajuns have been playing quite well especially coming off an upset of Houston on the road and will be too strong against the anemic offense of FAU.

    Thursday

    Virginia -6 over UNC. The battle two teams that really suck, but Virginia has shown some life the last few weeks even though they blew a big lead against Maryland. UNC has shown no improvement and thus will lose.

    Central Michigan -7 over Bowling Green. Central Michigan has covered every game so lets hope the trend continues.

    Utah -6 at New Mexico. Well the Utes slipped up last week committing too many turnovers and inversely New Mexico got a win while being severely outgained. I think the stars will be back aligned this week.

    Friday.

    West Virginia -22 at UConn. While I am hesitant to give so many points with WVA on the road, I noticed that UConn has been demolished in their games against predominantly running teams. Therefore, I look for that trend to continue since in the tradition of the many residents of West Virginia that don't have electricity or running water they will continue to eschew the modern convenience of the forward pass.

    Good day and good luck.

    Sunday, October 15, 2006

    Sunday's Selections and Saturday's Wrap

    10-5 is not so bad especially when I got his with some bad coaching by Missouri and bad officiating in the PAC 10 involving Oregon. Did Oregon pay off the officials this season? Why has officiating gotten worse this season with the new challenge system? Something is not working but maybe we can just call this the experimental year for college football with the new timing rules as well. So do you think Rutger's Head Coach Schiano will be in Miami next year? I do, especially after today's events with Rutger's big road win and the terrible fight in the game between Miama and FAU.

    Well there is my attempt at trying to actually write more and do it without resorting to vulgar language that would cause my former high school English to cringe. Hopefully I will write more often.

    Props to the Detroit Tigers with their sweep of the A's. I don't know what to say about Adrian Peterson but except that his dad finally got to see him have a great game in person.

    For Sunday.

    Carolina +3 at Baltimore. Reality will bite the Ravens for the 2nd week in row.

    Philadelphia -3 (at -105, finally down from -120 or -125 as it had been all week) at New Orleans. The Eagles are just so hot on offense.

    Friday, October 13, 2006

    The Weekend Fun

    The Picks for Saturday.

    Wisconsin -7.5 over Minnesota. Minnesota is going to get cold feet playing outside the dome.

    Wake Forest +3 at NC State. NC State had a big win over FSU, but now they will revert back to form.

    South Florida (USF) -3 (buy the 1/2 point) at UNC. UNC is DOA.

    Missouri -1.5 at Texas A&M. Who knows which A&M team will show up? Who cares?

    Nebraska -8.5 at KSU. Nebraska has emerged from being a patsy against KSU to being the patsy.

    Mississippi +16 at Alabama. Mississippi has played solid defense most of the year and I think they will score.

    Wyoming +3 over Utah. Both teams lost to Boise St at home but Wyoming played them in a closer game. I like the home team getting points. Wyoming does not have the better record but has played every game very very close.

    SMU -4.5 over Marshall. The Thundering Turd drops another stinkbomb on the road.

    Florida -1.5 at Auburn. Since a short jump shot scores you 2 points in hoops, I think Florida sinks another late jumper over the goal line to win.

    Washington -9 over Oregon St.

    UCLA +9 at Oregon. How can Oregon's uniforms continue to get uglier year after year? I mean they wear Nike and are in their backyard. Is this another Phil Knight joke or just their excuse for losing?

    Hawaii -4 at Fresno St. Two teams going in different directions. Fresno could not even get by Utah St.

    Kansas -2 over Oklahoma St. Third straight on the road for OSU should be a nice gift for Kansas.

    Idaho +3 at La Tech.

    Michigan -5.5 at Penn St. Penn St. will be out classed at home.

    I might have some more totals in the morning tomorrow.

    Wednesday, October 11, 2006

    Damn Government

    More legislation against online gamblers is being passed this week by our wonderful American democracy. Why are they dealing with this when they could be out campaigning for re-election or figuring out how to end a war the President declared finished a couple of years ago? Can't we just be left alone? Can you believe that the NFL actually contributed $700,000 to a lobbying group to aide in pushing this legislation through Congress? W T F!!! Aren't they the same league that mandates injury reports that if not basically accurate they will fine the team. The No Fun League. These injury reports have been around for years, well before the advent of Fantasy Football. Whatever, I like college sports more anyway.

    Speaking of the NFL, they might need to call it the NUL, No Upset League. Survivor Pools are still running with 50 to 75% of the teams still alive. It is absurd for this to be so late into the season, but you never know what will happen week to week.

    Some early picks for the week.

    Boston College +2.5 over Virginia Tech. Georgia Tech exposed VA Tech and BC has played everyone tight this season. I see a close game won by BC here.

    Air Force -5.5 over Colorado St. Colorado St is 4-1 but have a played a patsy schedule. Air Force has been tested and has two tough losses to Tennessee and Navy. Air Force is the solid play.

    Pitt -9.5 at Central Florida. Pitt has been lights out this season except for a small hiccup against Michigan St. Central Florida just got their 2nd win against lowly Marshall. Panthers win big.

    One more pick. This is a Sunday Night College game.

    Boise St/New Mexico St. over 64. A monster offense in Boise and huge passing game with a terrible defense for NMSt. is a recipe for lots of points and a late night on ESPN.

    Season Totals
    NCAA 61-44 (I am not including the ties any more).
    NFL 3-2

    Monday, October 09, 2006

    Monday

    Finally back on the winning side with a nice weekend of football going 12-6 in college and 1-0 in the NFL.

    A little birdie flew in my open window in my office this afternoon so I figured that is a sign to pick the Ravens +5.5 tonight. Good Luck. May the Ravens manage the clock better then the University of Washington against USC!

    Saturday, October 07, 2006

    Sunday

    Alright I am going to be a homer and take the Eagles -1.5.

    Friday, October 06, 2006

    Saturday's NCAA Picks

    Well I am back off to a better start this week with a 2-0 last night but I am concerned about the line moving down in tonight's Louisville game. (Actually I really think you are just getting a bigger bargain.)

    Saturday's Games

    Clemson -16.5 at Wake Forest. Wake Forest is 5-0 but this will be a hard trip back to reality this weekend.

    Miami -18.5 over UNC. Time for Miami to get healthy, they are weak but not that weak. I think i am going to get in line for tickets to that Duke - UNC football game at the end of the season to see who does not finish winless in conference.

    LSU +1.5 at Florida. Chris Leak is not showing senior leadership and it will show again this week agianst a strong LSU Squad.

    Washington St -3 at Oregon St. The battle tested Cougars will feast on some tasty Beaver on Saturday.

    UCLA -11.5 over Arizona. Defense wins football games but in Arizona's case probably only if you shutout your opponent since their own offense is so weak.

    Texas -3.5 over Oklahoma. I can't say why but I like Texas by 10 to 17 points. I just don't think there is a place for crying in football.

    Penn St -3 at Minnesota. Penn St. had a solid win at home last weekend and Minnesota is in the midst of a slide that will continue against a stifling Penn St. defense.

    East Carolina -6.5 over Virginia. Just because you kill Duke does not mean your team has gotten any better.

    Baylor +5 at Colorado. How the mighty have fallen! Baylor comes in off a win against another Big XII team (K St.) that had also fallen on hard luck.

    Nebraska -6.5 at Iowa St. Nebraska's offense is fine, just remind the defense to show up.

    UAB -5 over Memphis. Ouch, Memphis is still hung over after last weeks home demolishment by Tennessee.

    Missouri +5 at Texas Tech. Missou finally faces a challenge this season and they will show their strength.

    Oregon +5 at Cal. Oregon will continue to reap the benefits of their gift of conference officiating and win again.

    Fresno St. -26 at Utah St. Words really can't explain the futility of USU except maybe unless I say "Temple".

    Nevada/Hawaii over 61.5. Two strong teams face off on the big island in a late night scoring orgy.

    Wednesday, October 04, 2006

    Recap and Some Weeknight Action

    Well last saturday going 12-8 was much better then my 0-4 during the week run in college football. So I am now 49 -38-3 in college. The two NFL plays were 1-1 running the NFL talley to 2-1.

    I was going to discuss the issues that I am having with being a support of my alma mater. As a bettor I sometimes get temped to bet against my school and once I did succumb and of course that year in the last game of the season Northwestern wins as a 15 point dog on the road. So as a rule, I will never bet against Northwestern and will only bet for them when it makes sense.

    Thursday Night

    NC State +10.5 over Florida St. This might be the game that NC State can win to keep HC Amato's job for next season and I think they will keep close in a low scoring game.

    Utah -2.5 over TCU. Both teams are comming off big losses to decent teams and I think the home field will help get Utah over the hump.

    Friday Night

    Louisville -32.5 at Middle Tennessee St (playing in Nashville). Louisville has covered every game and MTSU even after a crushing of North Texas will not stay close.

    Will post the weekend on friday.